How much do you reckon I'll lose?

I'm 5'4'' and a half, 240lbs, size 20 (UK)...

June 2011 I'm going abroad for the first time, and I want to be able to wear a bikini without feeling insecure.

As of tomorrow morning I'll be on a calorie counting diet of 1,200 per day. No junk food or drinks and doing one hour of the cross trainer for an hour every morning...

I know that the maximum people are supposed to lose by dieting is 1-2lbs per week, but with the exercise I think it would be slightly more...

How much do you think I'll lose? Or what dress size to you think I'll be at by June 2011?

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